Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.200122 0.217213 0.235352 0.256080 0.279167 0.304152 0.333319
2026-01-11 0.171190 0.195549 0.223134 0.256888 0.297349 0.344637 0.404592
2026-01-18 0.149650 0.177041 0.209490 0.251173 0.303892 0.369160 0.457363
2026-01-25 0.133093 0.161684 0.196739 0.243505 0.305217 0.385261 0.499297
2026-02-01 0.121361 0.150727 0.187786 0.238842 0.308736 0.403184 0.544278
2026-02-08 0.111308 0.140830 0.179006 0.233068 0.309469 0.416500 0.583329
2026-02-15 0.103443 0.133060 0.172203 0.229033 0.311722 0.431503 0.625844
2026-02-22 0.099087 0.129577 0.170767 0.232096 0.324038 0.461933 0.695341
2026-03-01 0.093830 0.124434 0.166557 0.230655 0.329280 0.481804 0.749960
2026-03-08 0.088625 0.118993 0.161491 0.227429 0.331295 0.496484 0.797295
2026-03-15 0.083381 0.113167 0.155460 0.222213 0.329583 0.504692 0.833941
2026-03-22 0.081685 0.112330 0.156621 0.228020 0.345882 0.544270 0.932820
2026-03-29 0.079175 0.110248 0.155924 0.231070 0.358288 0.579189 1.029860
2026-04-05 0.076128 0.107208 0.153600 0.231356 0.366092 0.606932 1.117655
2026-04-12 0.072073 0.102416 0.148270 0.226284 0.364052 0.616254 1.168587
2026-04-19 0.067970 0.097344 0.142209 0.219550 0.358423 0.618085 1.203461
2026-04-26 0.064761 0.093501 0.137887 0.215455 0.357195 0.628218 1.258446
2026-05-03 0.061581 0.089554 0.133187 0.210383 0.353697 0.633391 1.302688
2026-05-10 0.058936 0.086333 0.129502 0.206837 0.352755 0.643602 1.360699
2026-05-17 0.057700 0.085302 0.129352 0.209529 0.363987 0.680363 1.491550
2026-05-24 0.055785 0.083085 0.127101 0.208262 0.367295 0.700466 1.583214
2026-05-31 0.053701 0.080502 0.124104 0.205426 0.367198 0.713012 1.656915
2026-06-07 0.051429 0.077518 0.120289 0.200837 0.363145 0.716173 1.704977